Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Davis Cup WG1 R1: PER vs NOR Round Robin

Davis Cup WG1 R1: PER vs NOR · ATP · Round Robin
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 16 September 2023
clay
NOR
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#118ATP
1620ELO
1582Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
Varillas J.
7-5 6-4
Budkov Kjaer N.
Varillas J.
762
Budkov Kjaer N.
540

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 7-5 6-4 in the Davis Cup WG1 R1: PER vs NOR round robin on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Budkov Kjaer N.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Budkov Kjaer N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (188 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Budkov Kjaer N.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
67
Break points saved·Even
80
78
Break points won·Even
43
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Budkov Kjaer N.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
7.2+151 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Budkov Kjaer N.
Freshness·Dominant
62
100

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About