Zachary Svajda vs Alex MichelsenCary CH Semi-final

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#72ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2023
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Svajda Z.
6-3 7-5
Michelsen A.
Svajda Z.
672
Michelsen A.
350

Zachary Svajda defeated Alex Michelsen 6-3 7-5 in the Cary CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Svajda Z.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svajda Z.Michelsen A.
30
Serve
34
12
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
98
Break points won·Clear edge
66
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1690
Surface ELO
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1825
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.5
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
70

Svajda Z.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast