Thai Son Kwiatkowski vs Keegan Smith — Cary CH Qualifying Round 2

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
USA4
Thai Son Kwiatkowski
#1589ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2023
hard
USA10
Keegan Smith
#204ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Kwiatkowski T.
7-6 6-4
Smith K.
Kwiatkowski T.
7762
Smith K.
6440

Thai Son Kwiatkowski defeated Keegan Smith 7-6 6-4 in the Cary CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Keegan Smith came in ranked #204, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kwiatkowski T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kwiatkowski T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kwiatkowski T.Smith K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kwiatkowski T.Smith K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
5
26
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
84
Break points won·Even
6
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
48
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
26
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kwiatkowski T.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Smith K.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kwiatkowski T.Smith K.
Freshness·
—
81

Smith K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Q2
Dostanic S.
Mochizuki Y.[9]
3-66-36-1
Poling K.
Van Sambeek F.
6-26-4
Smith K.
Zink T.
6-726-26-3
Ellis B.[8]
Harrison R.
6-33-66-4
Vandecasteele Q.
Ponwith N.[7]
6-46-2
Harris B.[2]
Angele J.[11]
7-617-5
Young D.
Pannu K.
6-46-1
Kwiatkowski T.[4]
Smith K.[10]
7-646-4
Angele J.
Perez A.[6]
6-36-2
Johns G.
Ponwith N.[5]
7-626-2
Vives Marcos P.
Kingsley C.[3]
6-46-4
Kirchheimer S.[2]
Rybakov A.[11]
6-727-57-63
Q1
Dostanic S.
Sekulic P.[4]
7-54-66-1
Zink T.
Ramanathan R.[12]
5-76-16-2
Smith K.
Ly N.[3]
6-26-4
Harrison R.
Mejia N.
6-36-4
Vandecasteele Q.
Kirchheimer S.[6]
5-76-36-2
Ellis B.[8]
Pervolarakis M.
6-36-2
Harris B.[2]
Young D.
6-46-4
Van Sambeek F.
Ito T.[10]
7-661-66-3
Mochizuki Y.[9]
King E.
7-677-5
Angele J.[11]
Puttergill C.
7-687-5
Poling K.
Kumar O.[5]
1-66-37-5
Angele J.
Trotter J.
7-667-62
Perez A.[6]
Kang K.
6-46-2
Johns G.
Boulais J.[9]
7-57-68
Ponwith N.[5]
Baris O.
6-16-4
Smith K.[10]
Staeheli L.
6-40-66-2
Kwiatkowski T.[4]
Nettles J.
6-46-2
Vives Marcos P.
Montes De La Torre I.[7]
4-66-27-5
Kingsley C.[3]
Catry R.
6-36-4
Rybakov A.[11]
Markes C.
6-36-1
Kirchheimer S.[2]
Thomson C.
7-636-3
Pannu K.
Vandecasteele Q.[12]
6-24-66-0
Young D.
Gomez F.[1]
6-33-66-2