Facundo Mena vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSanta Cruz De La Sierra CH Round of 16

Santa Cruz De La Sierra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#354ATP
1427ELO
1406Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2023
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Mena F.
6-4 7-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mena F.
672
Ugo Carabelli C.
450

Facundo Mena defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 7-5 in the Santa Cruz De La Sierra CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Facundo Mena claimed a first win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-06CordobaQ1clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mena F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mena F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mena F.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (145 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
9
78
Break points saved·Dominant
57
90
Break points won·Dominant
7
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.8Clay Elo 1406
Surface ELO
9.2+335 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1427
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1759
2.8
H2H
7.2
3.5
Surface form
7.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
97

Mena F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast