Mattia Bellucci vs Zizou BergsRennes CH Round of 16

Rennes CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 September 2023
hard
#35ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Bellucci M.
7-5 6-3
Bergs Z.
Bellucci M.
762
Bergs Z.
530

Mattia Bellucci defeated Zizou Bergs 7-5 6-3 in the Rennes CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Zizou Bergs came in ranked #35, but Mattia Bellucci had arrived on a 7-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Bergs Z.
0
Serve
25
40
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
69
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
10
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
6.2+79 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1808
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
2.5
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Bergs Z.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast