Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas MachacCassis CH Final

Cassis CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 September 2023
hard
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Bellucci M.
6-3 6-4
Machac T.
Bellucci M.
662
Machac T.
340

Mattia Bellucci defeated Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4 in the Cassis CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Mattia Bellucci claimed a first win over Tomas Machac in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardTomas Machac6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Machac T.
0
Serve
30
40
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
90
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
10
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
7.1+152 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast