Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo GastonSeville CH Semi-final

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 September 2023
clay
#107ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Carballes Baena R.
6-7 7-6 6-1
Gaston H.
Carballes Baena R.
627962
Gaston H.
776711

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Hugo Gaston 6-7 7-6 6-1 in the Seville CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #107, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Roberto Carballes Baena narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR128hardRoberto Carballes Baena6-4 5-7 6-3
2024-07-22KitzbuhelR16clayHugo Gaston6-2 7-6(5)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardHugo Gaston6-3 6-2 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Serve advantage — Carballes Baena R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
74
Break points saved·Even
93
91
Break points won·Even
58
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1566
4.6Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
50

Carballes Baena R.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 131 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast