Alex Michelsen vs Juan Pablo VarillasWinston-Salem Round of 64

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 64
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 August 2023
hard
#279ATP
1440ELO
1357Hard ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Michelsen A.
6-3 6-7 6-0
Varillas J.
Michelsen A.
66362
Varillas J.
37701

Alex Michelsen defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-7 6-0 in the Winston-Salem round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Varillas J.
34
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Even
46
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+453 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1357
9.3Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
55

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast