Mathys Erhard vs Francesco MaestrelliPrague CH Round of 32

Prague CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#357ATP
1382ELO
1351Clay ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 August 2023
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Erhard M.
7-6 5-7 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Erhard M.
77562
Maestrelli F.
60731

Mathys Erhard defeated Francesco Maestrelli 7-6 5-7 6-3 in the Prague CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, but Mathys Erhard had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Mathys Erhard closed it out in three sets, 7–6 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Erhard M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Erhard M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
83
Break points won·Slight edge
19
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1351
Surface ELO
7.2+115 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
2.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
97

Erhard M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast