Emil Ruusuvuori vs Andrey RublevCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#786ATP
1606ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Ruusuvuori E.
7-6 5-7 7-6
Rublev A.
Ruusuvuori E.
7125772
Rublev A.
6107631

Emil Ruusuvuori defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 5-7 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Emil Ruusuvuori claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01Hong KongFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR64hardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ruusuvuori E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ruusuvuori E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruusuvuori E.Rublev A.
Serve
55
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
89
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Clear edge
48
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
8.3+272 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.8
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%