Tommy Paul vs Ugo HumbertCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Paul T.
6-1 7-6
Humbert U.
Paul T.
6772
Humbert U.
1640

Tommy Paul defeated Ugo Humbert 6-1 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20LondonSFgrassTommy Paul6-3 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Humbert U.
71
Serve
64
54
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
87
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1843
5.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1868
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.7
0.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.4
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%