Ryan Peniston vs Arthur CazauxWinnipeg CH Semi-final

Winnipeg CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#389ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#78ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Peniston R.
6-3 2-6 7-5
Cazaux A.
Peniston R.
6272
Cazaux A.
3651

Ryan Peniston defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-3 2-6 7-5 in the Winnipeg CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in ranked #78.

Key context

  • Match story: Ryan Peniston closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Peniston R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Peniston R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Peniston R.Cazaux A.
Serve
40
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
7.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
65
Break points saved·Dominant
60
97
Break points won·Even
25
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.8Hard Elo 1402
Surface ELO
9.2+336 Hard Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 1793
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
2.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast