Adrian Mannarino vs Felix Auger AliassimeCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Mannarino A.
6-4 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Mannarino A.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
440

Adrian Mannarino defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Felix Auger Aliassime in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Adrian Mannarino edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-02MontpellierFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayFelix Auger Aliassime6-0 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Auger Aliassime F.
37
Serve
74
32
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
84
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Clear edge
66
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
8.8+285 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1958
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.6
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
59

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%