Daniil Medvedev vs Lorenzo MusettiCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-4
Musetti L.
Medvedev D.
662
Musetti L.
440

Daniil Medvedev defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's round of 32. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Medvedev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti7-5 6-4
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Musetti L.
47
Serve
54
94
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1804
5.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%