Lloyd Harris vs Shintaro MochizukiCary CH Round of 32

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#187ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Harris L.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Harris L.
64662
Mochizuki S.
77321

Lloyd Harris defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Cary CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Harris L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Harris L.

Serve advantage — Harris L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
74
Break points won·Dominant
24
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
24
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+215 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1425
7.2Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast