Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper RuudCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-6 4-6 7-6
Ruud C.
Davidovich Fokina A.
774772
Ruud C.
646641

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 4-6 7-6 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's semi-final. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-1
2025-10-20BaselQFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(1) 0-0 RET
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayCasper Ruud7-6(5) 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 6-4
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(3) 2-6 7-6(6) 0-6 7-5
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud3-4(2) 4-3(2) 4-2 3-4(2) 4-1

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Ruud C.
40
Serve
59
53
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
95
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1842
Surface ELO
5.3+46 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.1
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
97

Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%