Keegan Smith vs Patrick Kypson — Los Cabos Qualifying Round 1

Los Cabos · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
USA
Keegan Smith
#204ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
hard
Patrick Kypson
USA5
Patrick Kypson
#112ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Smith K.
6-3 6-7 6-2
Kypson P.
Smith K.
66462
Kypson P.
37721

Keegan Smith defeated Patrick Kypson 6-3 6-7 6-2 in the Los Cabos qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Patrick Kypson came in ranked #112.

Key context

  • Match story: Keegan Smith closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Smith K.Kypson P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.6
7.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith K.Kypson P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
93
Break points won·Dominant
3
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith K.
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 147 days (−1.5)
Kypson P.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1395
Surface ELO
8.5+217 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1641
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith K.Kypson P.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
94

Smith K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Kypson P.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Q2
Zhukayev B.[4]
Smith K.
6-36-1
Mansouri S.[7]
Shelbayh A.[3]
7-636-3
Lama G.
Alvarez L.
7-55-76-4
Kumar O.
Jung J.[6]
6-44-67-63
Q1
Shelbayh A.[3]
Chappell N.
6-36-2
Mansouri S.[7]
Panta Herreros J.
6-46-2
Alvarez L.
Ribeiro E.[8]
6-46-4
Smith K.
Kypson P.[5]
6-36-746-2
Jung J.[6]
Cozbinov A.
6-06-1
Kumar O.
Olivo R.[2]
6-14-1
Lama G.
Uchida K.[1]
6-46-2