Raul Brancaccio vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliLuedenscheid CH Quarter-final

Luedenscheid CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#248ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Brancaccio R.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Brancaccio R.
6362
Ugo Carabelli C.
4641

Raul Brancaccio defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the Luedenscheid CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59.

Key context

  • Match story: Raul Brancaccio closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brancaccio R.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Brancaccio R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Brancaccio R.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
78
Break points saved·Dominant
49
90
Break points won·Dominant
19
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1465
Surface ELO
8.2+276 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.1
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
97

Brancaccio R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 109 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast