Yosuke Watanuki vs Felix Auger AliassimeWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Watanuki Y.
7-6 7-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Watanuki Y.
712772
Auger Aliassime F.
610630

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 7-6 7-6 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Watanuki Y.Auger Aliassime F.
Serve
74
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
9.2
9.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
100
Break points won·Dominant
20
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
9.8+402 Hard Elo edge
0.2Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
9.8Overall Elo 1958
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
0.0
Country comfort
5.6
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
64

Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%