Heather Watson vs Katerina SiniakovaWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · WTA · Round of 32
#527WTA
1572ELO
1441Clay ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
#36WTA
1846ELO
1722Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Watson H.
7-5 6-2
Siniakova K.
Watson H.
762
Siniakova K.
520

Heather Watson defeated Katerina Siniakova 7-5 6-2 in the Warsaw round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #36, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Serve advantage — Siniakova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Watson H.Siniakova K.
Serve
29
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
62
Break points saved·Dominant
43
75
Break points won·Dominant
62
94
Deciding sets·Even
50
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1441
Surface ELO
8.5+281 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1846
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Watson H.: 16 days rest · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast