Rebecca Sramkova vs Karolina Muchova — Warsaw Round of 16

Warsaw · WTA · Round of 16
Rebecca Sramkova
SVK
Rebecca Sramkova
#139WTA
1654ELO
1587Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
Karolina Muchova
CZE2
Karolina Muchova
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sramkova R.
7-5 3-6 7-5
Muchova K.
Sramkova R.
7372
Muchova K.
5651

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Karolina Muchova 7-5 3-6 7-5 in the Warsaw round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sramkova R.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (148 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sramkova R.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
98
Break points won·Slight edge
84
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sramkova R.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Muchova K.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
1.4Clay Elo 1587
Surface ELO
8.6+306 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2066
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
8.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sramkova R.Muchova K.
Freshness·Dominant
100
60

Sramkova R.: 17 days rest · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Siegemund L.
6-06-1
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Wickmayer Y.
6-17-66
Siegemund L.
Maria T.
5-76-36-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[8]
6-16-4
Wickmayer Y.
Watson H.
6-46-3
Siegemund L.
Stefanini L.
7-655-76-3
Maria T.
Sramkova R.
6-31-66-1
R16
Wickmayer Y.
Martincova T.
6-26-2
Maria T.
Tauson C.
6-46-0
Siegemund L.
Zhu L.[4]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Liu C.
6-26-2
Watson H.
Hatouka Y.
6-25-76-1
Stefanini L.
Burrage J.
6-46-1
Noskova L.[8]
Hruncakova V.
6-36-3
Sramkova R.
Muchova K.[2]
7-53-67-5
R32
Siegemund L.
Chwalinska M.
6-46-1
Liu C.
Yuan Y.
7-633-66-2
Martincova T.
Zhang S.[5]
7-636-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Abduraimova N.
6-46-3
Hatouka Y.
Ponchet J.
6-43-67-5
Hruncakova V.
Kucova K.
7-56-3
Noskova L.[8]
Fett J.
4-67-646-3
Watson H.
Siniakova K.[3]
7-56-2
Wickmayer Y.
Hibino N.
6-26-4
Stefanini L.
Fruhvirtova L.[7]
6-17-64
Burrage J.
Raina A.
4-66-47-64
Muchova K.[2]
Sasnovich A.
4-67-606-3
Zhu L.[4]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Stevanovic N.
6-36-1
Sramkova R.
Ewald W.
6-26-2
Tauson C.
Snigur D.
6-26-3