Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · WTA · Round of 32
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
#122WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Muchova K.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Sasnovich A.
Muchova K.
47762
Sasnovich A.
66031

Karolina Muchova defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Warsaw round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartR32clayKarolina Muchova6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Even
94
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.0+238 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Clay Elo 1655
9.1Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1726
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
100

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast