Lorenzo Musetti vs Jozef KovalikHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
#780ATP
1473ELO
1466Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Musetti L.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Kovalik J.
Musetti L.
3662
Kovalik J.
6241

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Jozef Kovalik 3-6 6-2 6-4 in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kovalik J.

Kovalik J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Kovalik J.
35
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
31
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
83
Break points won·Dominant
82
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+387 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1466
10.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1473
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
1.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
5.7
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kovalik J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 77%