Matteo Arnaldi vs Jiri LeheckaUmag Quarter-final

Umag · ATP · Quarter-final
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
#12ATP
1922ELO
1826Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Arnaldi M.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Lehecka J.
Arnaldi M.
3662
Lehecka J.
6241

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Jiri Lehecka 3-6 6-2 6-4 in the Umag quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jiri Lehecka came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Jiri Lehecka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsRRhardJiri Lehecka4-3(5) 4-1 4-3(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Lehecka J.

Lehecka J.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Lehecka J.
Serve
65
Return
21

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
51
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5+5 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.5Clay Elo 1826
2.2Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1922
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
74

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lehecka J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast