Casper Ruud vs Lorenzo MusettiBastad Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Semi-final
#12ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Ruud C.
6-3 7-5
Musetti L.
Ruud C.
672
Musetti L.
350

Casper Ruud defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-5 in the Bastad semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-12Rome MastersR16clayCasper Ruud3-6 1-6
2022-10-31Paris MastersR16hardLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-4 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersQ1clayCasper Ruud6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ruud C.Musetti L.
54
Serve
35
69
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
75
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.8+120 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1853
4.6Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 90%