Andrey Rublev vs Pavel Kotov — Bastad Round of 16

Bastad · ATP · Round of 16
Andrey Rublev
RUS1
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Rublev A.
6-3 7-6
Kotov P.
Rublev A.
6772
Kotov P.
3640

Andrey Rublev defeated Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-6 in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Kotov P.
14
Serve
—
62
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Kotov P.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 182). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Kotov P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Dominant
72
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rublev A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Kotov P.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+344 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1529
8.0Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
1.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
3.0
Surface transition
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Kotov P.
Freshness·
94
—

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 90%
Final
Rublev A.[1]
Ruud C.[1]
7-636-0
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[1]
Cerundolo F.[4]
7-666-776-3
Ruud C.[1]
Musetti L.[3]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Cerundolo F.[4]
Coria F.
6-36-3
Rublev A.[1]
Zverev A.[5]
6-26-3
Ruud C.[1]
Ofner S.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[3]
Misolic F.
4-66-16-2
R16
Coria F.
Borg L.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[1]
Kotov P.
6-37-64
Cerundolo F.[4]
Van Assche L.
6-26-3
Ruud C.[1]
Shevchenko A.
6-26-4
Ofner S.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-46-4
Musetti L.[3]
Arnaldi M.
6-34-67-66
Zverev A.[5]
Monteiro T.
6-16-0
Misolic F.
Kovalik J.
4-67-666-4
R32
Misolic F.
Lajovic D.
7-647-64
Coria F.
Baez S.[8]
6-44-67-65
Shevchenko A.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-3
Zapata Miralles B.
Dellien H.
6-37-63
Ofner S.
Etcheverry T.[6]
4-66-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-42-67-60
Kovalik J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[7]
6-36-4
Borg L.
Ymer E.
7-656-3
Van Assche L.
Madaras D.
7-626-4
Zverev A.[5]
Molcan A.
6-43-67-5
Monteiro T.
Galan D.
5-76-46-4
Kotov P.
Cecchinato M.
6-16-2