Alex Michelsen vs Kei NishikoriChicago CH Quarter-final

Chicago CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 July 2023
hard
#717ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Michelsen A.
7-6 3-6 6-1
Nishikori K.
Michelsen A.
715362
Nishikori K.
613611

Alex Michelsen defeated Kei Nishikori 7-6 3-6 6-1 in the Chicago CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Kei Nishikori in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Michelsen came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardKei Nishikori3-6 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Nishikori K.
34
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
46
74
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+130 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1680
6.3Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1714
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast