Pavel Kotov vs Jan Choinski — Braunschweig CH Quarter-final

Braunschweig CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Pavel Kotov
RUS5
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 July 2023
clay
Jan Choinski
GBR
Jan Choinski
#75ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Kotov P.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Choinski J.
Kotov P.
63662
Choinski J.
77321

Pavel Kotov defeated Jan Choinski 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Braunschweig CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #75.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Choinski J.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Choinski J.
Clutch Rating·Even
59
55
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Slight edge
13
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Choinski J.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.1Clay Elo 1529
Surface ELO
4.9+124 Clay Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.3
Minutes 14d
4.1
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Choinski J.
Freshness·
—
55

Choinski J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Agamenone F.
Kotov P.[5]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Kotov P.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-47-64
Agamenone F.
Hassan B.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Hassan B.
Holmgren A.
3-67-676-3
Kotov P.[5]
Choinski J.
6-736-36-2
Agamenone F.
Altmaier D.[1]
6-32-66-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Kovalik J.
3-67-656-4
R16
Hassan B.
Skatov T.
6-43-66-3
Kotov P.[5]
Laaksonen H.
6-00-0
Agamenone F.
Daniel T.[6]
2-66-37-66
Altmaier D.[1]
Passaro F.
6-26-0
Holmgren A.
Andreev A.
6-43-67-65
Seyboth Wild T.
Masur D.
6-26-3
Choinski J.
Herbert P.
6-736-47-65
Kovalik J.
Martinez P.[8]
2-67-56-3
R32
Choinski J.
Molcan A.[2]
2-66-37-63
Andreev A.
Blancaneaux G.
6-43-66-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Yevseyev D.
4-66-46-1
Agamenone F.
Marterer M.
3-67-656-4
Kovalik J.
Molleker R.
4-66-36-4
Altmaier D.[1]
Taberner C.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Munar J.[7]
2-67-57-65
Laaksonen H.
Topo M.
4-66-26-4
Martinez P.[8]
Travaglia S.
6-46-3
Hassan B.
Cecchinato M.[3]
7-57-61
Skatov T.
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
6-36-1
Herbert P.
Gakhov I.
4-66-36-4
Masur D.
Coria F.[4]
4-66-46-3
Daniel T.[6]
Friberg K.
6-47-62
Passaro F.
Sels J.
6-27-65
Kotov P.[5]
Dellien H.
7-676-2