Aslan Karatsev vs Luca Van AsscheWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#80ATP
1701ELO
1555Grass ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Karatsev A.
6-7 6-4 6-2 6-4
Van Assche L.
Karatsev A.
646663
Van Assche L.
774241

Aslan Karatsev defeated Luca Van Assche 6-7 6-4 6-2 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
67
Break points saved·Even
94
91
Break points won·Clear edge
39
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
41
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
4.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Van Assche L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
7-673-66-37-62
Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
5-77-646-26-2
Djere L.
Cressy M.
6-757-637-687-67
Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
7-674-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Novak D.
6-756-47-656-1
Safiullin R.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
6-736-46-46-4
Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
Brouwer G.
6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
7-636-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
6-46-46-4
Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
7-56-36-1
Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Cachin P.
6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
Daniel T.
6-46-33-64-66-3
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.[28]
2-62-66-47-646-3
Ruud C.[11]
Lokoli L.
6-15-76-46-3
Mayot H.
Bonzi B.
6-36-47-5
Stricker D.
Popyrin A.
3-66-36-24-67-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Chardy J.
6-06-27-5
Jarry N.[25]
Cecchinato M.
4-66-26-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Huesler M.
6-755-77-657-636-3
Berrettini M.
Sonego L.
6-756-37-676-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Wu Y.
7-646-36-4
Ivashka I.
Coria F.
4-66-46-36-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Zhang Z.
2-67-637-663-66-2
Rune H.[6]
Loffhagen G.
7-646-36-2
Mannarino A.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-2
Giron M.
Dellien H.
7-626-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-46-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Borges N.
5-76-36-36-4
Eubanks C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-57-56-3
Oconnell C.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-44-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Thiem D.
3-67-616-26-757-68
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-26-2
Schwartzman D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-37-613-67-5
Halys Q.
Evans D.[27]
6-26-36-756-4
Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
6-46-36-3
Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
6-37-54-63-66-1
Moutet C.
Gasquet R.
6-37-57-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
5-76-46-26-2
Barrere G.
Harris L.
7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
Purcell M.
6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
Van Assche L.
6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
Marozsan F.
6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
Isner J.
4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-57-56-4
Hurkacz H.[17]
Ramos A.
6-16-46-4
Murray A.
Peniston R.
6-36-06-1