Matteo Arnaldi vs Juncheng ShangWimbledon Qualifying Round 1

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#34ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#274ATP
1746ELO
1651Grass ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
Arnaldi M.
3-6 7-6 7-5
Shang J.
Arnaldi M.
37772
Shang J.
66051

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Juncheng Shang 3-6 7-6 7-5 in the Wimbledon qualifying round 1 on grass. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Shang J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Slight edge
51
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1630
Surface ELO
6.0+21 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1746
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
7.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
Q1
Arnaldi M.[32]
Shang J.
3-67-607-5
Herbert P.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-776-47-611
Uchida K.
Agamenone F.
4-67-626-2
Samuel T.
Bellier A.
6-47-65
Klein L.
Kopriva V.
6-36-4
Wu T.
Tseng C.
6-33-66-1
Gomez E.[17]
Bonadio R.
6-46-2
De Jong J.
Hsu Y.
6-36-2
Polmans M.
Vavassori A.[19]
7-637-5
Rodionov J.[30]
Dougaz A.
6-36-1
Llamas Ruiz P.
Neuchrist M.
6-47-62
Medjedovic H.
Martinez P.[19]
6-06-1
Noguchi R.
Pellegrino A.[17]
6-16-1
Collignon R.
Yunchaokete B.[3]
7-653-66-3
Monday J.
Poljicak M.
3-67-646-3
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Donskoy E.
6-36-4
Gaio F.
Cox D.
2-67-627-5
Gombos N.
Moreno De Alboran N.[31]
6-22-66-4
Svajda Z.
Olivieri G.
6-15-76-3
Cuevas P.
Gerasimov E.
6-46-787-62
Mayot H.
Blancaneaux G.
6-06-1
Machac T.[6]
Uchiyama Y.
7-676-4
Broom C.
Giannessi A.
6-46-746-3
Chung H.
Kuzmanov D.
6-23-66-3
Meligeni Alves F.[20]
Pospisil V.
6-27-62
Gaston H.
Maestrelli F.[10]
7-56-4
Madaras D.
Sweeny D.
7-56-2
Mochizuki S.
Grenier H.[18]
6-27-63
Harris B.
Ritschard A.
5-77-656-2
Zeppieri G.[23]
Cazaux A.
7-646-4
Coppejans K.
Skatov T.[27]
6-736-47-611
Mmoh M.[13]
Andreev A.
6-43-67-64
Watanuki Y.[8]
Hong S.
7-647-67
Bergs Z.
Holt B.
6-26-3
Couacaud E.
Brancaccio R.[28]
6-47-63
Shimabukuro S.
Diaz Acosta F.[12]
6-756-36-4
Celikbilek A.
Svrcina D.
6-05-76-2
Piros Z.[16]
De Loore J.
7-671-66-1
Pouille L.
Kolar Z.
4-66-36-3
Daniel T.[4]
Trungelliti M.
6-26-4
Riedi L.
Kokkinakis T.[2]
7-56-4
Diallo G.[29]
Ilkel C.
6-34-66-1
Hijikata R.[9]
Bolt A.
7-627-69
Ficovich J.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-36-4
Marozsan F.[3]
Krutykh O.
6-11-66-3
Kudla D.
Passaro F.[26]
6-46-4
Brouwer G.
Pow L.
6-36-1
Otte O.
Paire B.
6-36-3
Virtanen O.
Laaksonen H.
6-16-4
Novak D.
Misolic F.[30]
6-37-5
Berankis R.
Navone M.
6-16-2
Albot R.[5]
Hardt N.
6-27-62
Duckworth J.[7]
Parker S.
4-66-36-1
Stricker D.[10]
Johnson S.
7-56-4
Bellucci M.
Gakhov I.[32]
6-36-4
Ymer E.
Escoffier A.
6-46-4
Lokoli L.
Ionel N.
6-17-67
Ferreira Silva F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Nardi L.
Kovalik J.
6-24-66-4
Kovacevic A.[14]
Collarini A.
7-56-3
Onclin G.
Tirante T.[24]
6-26-0
Seyboth Wild T.[21]
Sels J.
6-46-4
Marterer M.
Darderi L.[14]
5-76-16-1
Gigante M.
Wendelken H.
6-37-66