Roberto Carballes Baena vs Matteo Arnaldi — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#163ATP
1632ELO
1506Grass ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA32
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Carballes Baena R.
6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Carballes Baena R.
606663
Arnaldi M.
773441

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carballes Baena R.Arnaldi M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carballes Baena R.Arnaldi M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
78
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Slight edge
58
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carballes Baena R.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1506
Surface ELO
5.8+125 Grass Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carballes Baena R.Arnaldi M.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest · Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
1-67-666-13-66-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[8]
6-36-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Sinner J.[1]
6-36-47-64
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-43-66-26-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Rublev A.[12]
4-66-16-46-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Eubanks C.
6-41-64-67-646-1
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-636-46-4
R16
Safiullin R.
Shapovalov D.[26]
3-66-36-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
7-646-46-3
Rublev A.[12]
Bublik A.[10]
7-56-36-766-756-4
Djokovic N.[7]
Hurkacz H.[17]
7-667-665-76-4
Rune H.[6]
Dimitrov G.
3-67-667-646-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Lehecka J.[13]
6-46-2
Eubanks C.
Tsitsipas S.[5]
3-67-643-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-36-3
R32
Eubanks C.
Oconnell C.
7-657-637-62
Safiullin R.
Pella G.
7-616-46-0
Rune H.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-34-63-66-47-68
Sinner J.[1]
Halys Q.
3-66-26-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Goffin D.
6-36-767-656-2
Bublik A.[10]
Marterer M.
6-46-17-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Wawrinka S.
6-36-17-65
Lehecka J.[13]
Paul T.[21]
6-27-626-756-796-2
Medvedev D.[8]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-36-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-26-36-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Jarry N.[25]
6-36-766-37-5
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-647-65
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Djere L.
6-47-656-4
Galan D.
Ymer M.
6-26-727-653-66-1
Shapovalov D.[26]
Broady L.
4-66-27-57-5
Hurkacz H.[17]
Musetti L.[14]
7-646-46-4
R64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Stricker D.
7-6116-46-2
Safiullin R.
Moutet C.
7-56-37-64
Zverev A.[2]
Watanuki Y.
6-45-76-26-2
Berrettini M.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-12-66-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-26-2
Paul T.[21]
Raonic M.
6-47-646-746-4
Eubanks C.
Norrie C.[26]
6-33-66-27-63
Djere L.
Shelton B.[4]
3-66-37-656-3
Sinner J.[1]
Schwartzman D.
7-56-16-2
Ymer M.
Fritz T.[6]
3-62-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Thompson J.
6-37-647-5
Medvedev D.[8]
Mannarino A.
6-36-37-65
Oconnell C.
Vesely J.
6-37-56-4
Galan D.
Otte O.
6-33-66-37-63
Musetti L.[14]
Munar J.
6-46-36-1
Jarry N.[25]
Kubler J.
7-55-76-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Muller A.
6-47-626-3
Dimitrov G.
Ivashka I.
6-36-46-4
Rune H.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
6-37-636-4
Fucsovics M.
Giron M.
7-626-34-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-724-67-636-4
Halys Q.
Vukic A.
6-36-16-4
Pella G.
Mayot H.
2-66-37-637-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Barrere G.
6-36-47-67
Broady L.
Ruud C.[11]
6-43-64-66-36-0
Rublev A.[12]
Karatsev A.
6-746-36-47-5
Goffin D.
Barrios Vera T.[20]
7-635-76-26-0
Bublik A.[10]
Wolf J.
6-37-656-0
Marterer M.
Mmoh M.
7-57-656-4
Wawrinka S.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Hurkacz H.[17]
Choinski J.
6-46-47-63
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
7-673-66-37-62
Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
5-77-646-26-2
Djere L.
Cressy M.
6-757-637-687-67
Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
7-674-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Novak D.
6-756-47-656-1
Safiullin R.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
6-736-46-46-4
Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
Brouwer G.
6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
7-636-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
6-46-46-4
Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
7-56-36-1
Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Cachin P.
6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
Daniel T.
6-46-33-64-66-3
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.[28]
2-62-66-47-646-3
Ruud C.[11]
Lokoli L.
6-15-76-46-3
Mayot H.
Bonzi B.
6-36-47-5
Stricker D.
Popyrin A.
3-66-36-24-67-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Chardy J.
6-06-27-5
Jarry N.[25]
Cecchinato M.
4-66-26-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Huesler M.
6-755-77-657-636-3
Berrettini M.
Sonego L.
6-756-37-676-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Wu Y.
7-646-36-4
Ivashka I.
Coria F.
4-66-46-36-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Zhang Z.
2-67-637-663-66-2
Rune H.[6]
Loffhagen G.
7-646-36-2
Mannarino A.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-2
Giron M.
Dellien H.
7-626-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-46-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Borges N.
5-76-36-36-4
Eubanks C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-57-56-3
Oconnell C.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-44-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Thiem D.
3-67-616-26-757-68
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-26-2
Schwartzman D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-37-613-67-5
Halys Q.
Evans D.[27]
6-26-36-756-4
Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
6-46-36-3
Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
6-37-54-63-66-1
Moutet C.
Gasquet R.
6-37-57-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
5-76-46-26-2
Barrere G.
Harris L.
7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
Purcell M.
6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
Van Assche L.
6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
Marozsan F.
6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
Isner J.
4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-57-56-4
Hurkacz H.[17]
Ramos A.
6-16-46-4
Murray A.
Peniston R.
6-36-06-1