Roman Safiullin vs Roberto Bautista AgutWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#132ATP
1750ELO
1627Grass ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#183ATP
1700ELO
1662Grass ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Safiullin R.
2-6 7-6 6-7 6-4 7-5
Bautista Agut R.
Safiullin R.
27964673
Bautista Agut R.
66777452

Roman Safiullin defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 2-6 7-6 6-7 6-4 7-5 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Roberto Bautista Agut came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Roman Safiullin had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Roberto Bautista Agut in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingQ2hardRoberto Bautista Agut7-5 3-6 6-4
2024-04-15BarcelonaR64clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 7-6(8)

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
85
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
44
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1627
Surface ELO
6.0+35 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1700
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
97

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
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