Sebastian Baez vs Nuno BorgesEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#57ATP
1759ELO
1546Grass ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 June 2023
grass
#48ATP
1769ELO
1656Grass ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Baez S.
6-3 6-4
Borges N.
Baez S.
662
Borges N.
340

Sebastian Baez defeated Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4 in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Nuno Borges came in ranked #48.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
77
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
86
54
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1546
Surface ELO
5.7+110 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1769
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
4.0
2.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Borges N.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast