Holger Rune vs Lorenzo Musetti — Queen's Club Quarter-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Quarter-final
Holger Rune
DEN2
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1628Grass ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA6
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rune H.
6-4 7-5
Musetti L.
Rune H.
672
Musetti L.
450

Holger Rune defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-5 in the Queen's Club quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 32, but Holger Rune had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayLorenzo Musetti7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-2 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
84
82
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Musetti L.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Grass Elo 1628
Surface ELO
7.6+122 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
3.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
2.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 60%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[7]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Korda S.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[7]
Rune H.[2]
6-37-62
Quarter-finals
Korda S.
Norrie C.[5]
6-47-61
De Minaur A.[7]
Mannarino A.
6-44-66-4
Rune H.[2]
Musetti L.[6]
6-47-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-46-4
R16
Dimitrov G.
Cerundolo F.[8]
6-37-5
Korda S.
Tiafoe F.[4]
7-626-3
Norrie C.[5]
Thompson J.
4-66-36-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-2
Mannarino A.
Fritz T.[3]
6-47-67
Musetti L.[6]
Shelton B.
6-44-66-4
Rune H.[2]
Peniston R.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Lehecka J.
6-26-3
R32
Rune H.[2]
Cressy M.
7-647-63
Dimitrov G.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-26-4
Cerundolo F.[8]
Paul T.
7-624-66-4
Korda S.
Evans D.
6-47-5
Schwartzman D.
Mcdonald M.
6-26-4
Mannarino A.
Broady L.
1-66-46-3
Shelton B.
Wolf J.
7-647-62
Thompson J.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rinderknech A.
4-67-57-63
Lehecka J.
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-646-3
Fritz T.[3]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-47-5
Peniston R.
Humbert U.
6-46-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Murray A.
6-36-1
Tiafoe F.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-26-4
Norrie C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Musetti L.[6]
Choinski J.
6-46-2