Jason Kubler vs Arthur CazauxIlkley CH Semi-final

Ilkley CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#468ATP
1685ELO
1679Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
#98ATP
1793ELO
1659Grass ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Kubler J.
4-6 6-3 6-1
Cazaux A.
Kubler J.
4662
Cazaux A.
6311

Jason Kubler defeated Arthur Cazaux 4-6 6-3 6-1 in the Ilkley CH semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in ranked #98.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.6
7.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Clear edge
46
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1659
3.6Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1793
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
8.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
2.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast