Jason Kubler vs Mattia Bellucci — Ilkley CH Round of 16

Ilkley CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
AUS4
Jason Kubler
#468ATP
1685ELO
1679Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 June 2023
grass
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
Mattia Bellucci
#80ATP
1720ELO
1657Grass ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Kubler J.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Bellucci M.
Kubler J.
4662
Bellucci M.
6341

Jason Kubler defeated Mattia Bellucci 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Ilkley CH round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kubler J.Bellucci M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kubler J.Bellucci M.
Clutch Rating·Even
59
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
46
10
Deciding sets·Even
79
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kubler J.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bellucci M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.8+23 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1657
5.1Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kubler J.Bellucci M.
Freshness·
—
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Kubler J.[4]
Ofner S.[3]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Ofner S.[3]
Piros Z.
6-36-0
Kubler J.[4]
Cazaux A.
4-66-36-1
Quarter-finals
Cazaux A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-11-0
Piros Z.
Broom C.
6-736-37-62
Ofner S.[3]
Kudla D.
6-26-2
Kubler J.[4]
Shang J.
6-36-4
R16
Broom C.
Brancaccio R.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Bolt A.
6-41-66-3
Shang J.
Goffin D.
6-16-716-4
Cazaux A.
Tirante T.
6-13-1
Shimabukuro S.
Hijikata R.
3-66-46-3
Kudla D.
Bergs Z.
6-27-5
Ofner S.[3]
Virtanen O.
6-41-66-4
Kubler J.[4]
Bellucci M.
4-66-36-4
R32
Goffin D.
Stricker D.[6]
7-51-3
Broom C.
Brouwer G.
7-656-2
Brancaccio R.
Monday J.
6-36-3
Bolt A.
Samuel T.
2-67-667-5
Piros Z.
Kovacevic A.[7]
6-796-37-67
Ofner S.[3]
Lokoli L.
6-36-2
Bergs Z.
Rodionov J.[5]
7-614-66-1
Bellucci M.
Klein L.
4-66-46-4
Kubler J.[4]
Ritschard A.
6-36-736-3
Cazaux A.
Diallo G.
6-37-61
Tirante T.
Borges N.[1]
4-66-36-4
Kudla D.
Medjedovic H.
6-37-65
Shimabukuro S.
Wendelken H.
6-26-726-2
Hijikata R.
Watanuki Y.[8]
7-687-5
Shang J.
Gomez E.
6-37-62
Virtanen O.
Gombos N.
7-627-5