Heather Watson vs Tatjana Maria — Nottingham Round of 16

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 16
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#470WTA
1572ELO
1506Grass ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 June 2023
grass
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#76WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Watson H.
6-4 6-4
Maria T.
Watson H.
662
Maria T.
440

Heather Watson defeated Tatjana Maria 6-4 6-4 in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Heather Watson claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Heather Watson edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-03-02MonterreyR32hardTatjana Maria7-6(4) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watson H.Maria T.
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watson H.Maria T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
20
13
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
31
Break points won·Clear edge
62
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watson H.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 105 days (−1.5)
Maria T.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1506
Surface ELO
6.2+182 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watson H.Maria T.
Freshness·Dominant
100
70

Watson H.: 19 days rest · Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Boulter K.
Burrage J.
6-36-3
Semi-finals
Burrage J.
Cornet A.
7-57-5
Boulter K.
Watson H.
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Burrage J.
Frech M.
6-23-67-5
Watson H.
Golubic V.
7-627-5
Boulter K.
Dart H.
6-37-5
Cornet A.
Mandlik E.
6-34-66-3
R16
Dart H.
Kalinina A.[5]
6-07-5
Mandlik E.
Giorgi C.[7]
7-55-76-3
Boulter K.
Snigur D.
7-56-3
Golubic V.
Vekic D.[4]
6-46-1
Cornet A.
Sakkari M.[6]
6-16-4
Watson H.
Maria T.
6-46-4
Frech M.
Zhu L.[8]
6-26-4
Burrage J.
Linette M.[3]
7-56-3
R32
Zhu L.[8]
Parks A.
7-656-2
Watson H.
Niemeier J.
6-46-3
Cornet A.
Swan K.
2-66-16-4
Vekic D.[4]
Bucsa C.
6-24-66-1
Frech M.
Kartal S.
6-35-76-2
Golubic V.
Teichmann J.
6-46-3
Snigur D.
Haddad Maia B.[2]
6-46-3
Mandlik E.
Tomova V.
6-23-67-65
Kalinina A.[5]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-3
Dart H.
Marino R.
6-46-2
Giorgi C.[7]
Brengle M.
7-656-2
Linette M.[3]
Gadecki O.
6-46-4
Boulter K.
Appleton E.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Wang X.
6-27-66
Maria T.
Zhang S.[6]
6-16-4
Burrage J.
Martincova T.
7-653-67-64