Aslan Karatsev vs Corentin Moutet — Stuttgart Round of 32

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 32
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 June 2023
grass
Corentin Moutet
FRA8
Corentin Moutet
#40ATP
1745ELO
1648Grass ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Karatsev A.
7-6 6-7 7-5
Moutet C.
Karatsev A.
776872
Moutet C.
6071051

Aslan Karatsev defeated Corentin Moutet 7-6 6-7 7-5 in the Stuttgart round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #40.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Moutet C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 185). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Moutet C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
82
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Dominant
39
75
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Moutet C.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
6.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Moutet C.
Freshness·
—
96

Moutet C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Tiafoe F.[6]
Struff J.
4-67-617-68
Semi-finals
Struff J.
Hurkacz H.[4]
3-66-36-3
Tiafoe F.[6]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-611
Quarter-finals
Fucsovics M.
Fritz T.[2]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[6]
Musetti L.[6]
6-767-646-2
Hurkacz H.[4]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Struff J.
Gasquet R.
6-47-5
R16
Oconnell C.
Sonego L.
7-656-3
Fritz T.[2]
Karatsev A.
7-646-3
Gasquet R.
Tsitsipas S.[1]
7-682-67-5
Struff J.
Paul T.[5]
7-647-65
Musetti L.[6]
Barrere G.
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
Wu Y.
6-44-66-4
Hurkacz H.[4]
Watanuki Y.
4-67-657-65
Tiafoe F.[6]
Lehecka J.[4]
7-626-4
R32
Musetti L.[6]
Gojo B.
7-646-3
Sonego L.
Berrettini M.[7]
6-16-2
Gasquet R.
Eubanks C.
7-626-4
Oconnell C.
Altmaier D.
6-36-1
Paul T.[5]
Bonzi B.
6-36-4
Struff J.
Zhang Z.
6-16-4
Wu Y.
Kyrgios N.[8]
7-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Shapovalov D.
3-66-36-4
Barrere G.
Otte O.
6-46-3
Watanuki Y.
Lopez F.
7-656-3
Lehecka J.[4]
Giron M.
4-66-36-4
Karatsev A.
Moutet C.[8]
7-606-787-5