Kei Nishikori vs Gustavo Heide — Palmas Del Mar CH SF

Palmas Del Mar CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

JPN

Kei Nishikori

#717ATP

1714ELO

1680Hard ELO

36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWWLWL

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 12 June 2023

hard

BRA

Gustavo Heide

#136ATP

1695ELO

1536Hard ELO

$167kYTD

$609kCAREER

24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWLWW

Nishikori K.

6-4 6-2

Heide G.

Nishikori K.

662

Heide G.

420

Kei Nishikori defeated Gustavo Heide 6-4 6-2 in the Palmas Del Mar CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gustavo Heide came in ranked #136.

Key context

Match story: Kei Nishikori dropped just 6 games past Gustavo Heide.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Nishikori K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Heide G.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Nishikori K.Heide G.

1st serve in·Slight edge

65%

57%

1st serve points won·Even

67%

71%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

Service points won·Even

62%

64%

Return points won·Even

39%

Break points saved·Even

59%

63%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.4

4.4

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.0

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Nishikori K.Heide G.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Dominant

100

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nishikori K.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Extended break: 616 days (−1.5)

Heide G.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.2+145 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.8Hard Elo 1536

6.1Overall Elo 1714

ELO gap

3.9Overall Elo 1695

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

6.6

Surface form

4.6

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

Minutes 14d

5.0

3-set count

4.0

Prev. match

8.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.