Katie Boulter vs Heather WatsonNottingham Semi-final

Nottingham · WTA · Semi-final
#67WTA
1831ELO
1734Grass ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 June 2023
grass
#470WTA
1572ELO
1506Grass ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Boulter K.
6-4 7-5
Watson H.
Boulter K.
672
Watson H.
450

Katie Boulter defeated Heather Watson 6-4 7-5 in the Nottingham semi-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #67, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Katie Boulter extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-06-07NottinghamR16grassKatie Boulter7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Watson H.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Serve advantage — Boulter K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
20
Break points saved·Dominant
86
43
Break points won·Dominant
93
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 59 days (−0.7)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 105 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+228 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1506
8.2Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1572
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Boulter K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Watson H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast