Pavel Kotov vs Andrea Pellegrino — Heilbronn CH Round of 32

Heilbronn CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Pavel Kotov
RUS8
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 June 2023
clay
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA
Andrea Pellegrino
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Kotov P.
7-6 6-2
Pellegrino A.
Kotov P.
7862
Pellegrino A.
6620

Pavel Kotov defeated Andrea Pellegrino 7-6 6-2 in the Heilbronn CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #138.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Pellegrino A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Pellegrino A.
Clutch Rating·Even
59
55
Break points saved·Dominant
94
67
Break points won·Clear edge
13
35
Deciding sets·Even
82
82
Tiebreaks·Even
76
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Pellegrino A.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5Clay Elo 1529
Surface ELO
4.5+125 Clay Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Pellegrino A.
Freshness·
—
86

Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Arnaldi M.[5]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-646-1
Semi-finals
Arnaldi M.[5]
Martinez P.
7-647-5
Diaz Acosta F.
Molleker R.
7-56-3
Quarter-finals
Arnaldi M.[5]
Munar J.[2]
1-66-47-5
Molleker R.
Galan D.[3]
6-45-77-5
Diaz Acosta F.
Santillan A.
7-56-3
Martinez P.
Kotov P.[8]
6-44-67-63
R16
Arnaldi M.[5]
Topo M.
2-66-36-1
Munar J.[2]
Skatov T.
6-27-5
Kotov P.[8]
Added D.
6-26-2
Galan D.[3]
Meligeni Alves F.
5-76-06-2
Martinez P.
Thiem D.[4]
2-66-36-1
Santillan A.
Kovalik J.
6-23-66-3
Molleker R.
Marozsan F.[6]
7-56-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Janvier M.
6-13-67-65
R32
Added D.
Rehberg M.
6-25-4
Munar J.[2]
Dellien H.
6-16-1
Thiem D.[4]
Uchida K.
6-46-4
Molleker R.
Fanselow S.
6-46-756-1
Martinez P.
Squire H.
6-46-2
Galan D.[3]
Ilkel C.
6-47-63
Arnaldi M.[5]
Gombos N.
7-56-3
Meligeni Alves F.
Kym J.
7-626-3
Kovalik J.
Marterer M.
3-66-27-65
Diaz Acosta F.
Otte O.[7]
6-46-716-1
Santillan A.
Cecchinato M.[1]
7-56-3
Topo M.
Krutykh O.
6-46-4
Kotov P.[8]
Pellegrino A.
7-666-2
Skatov T.
Dzumhur D.
7-56-1
Marozsan F.[6]
Casanova H.
6-36-4
Janvier M.
Gerch L.
6-46-3