Matteo Arnaldi vs Marko TopoHeilbronn CH Round of 16

Heilbronn CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 June 2023
clay
#374ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLLL
Arnaldi M.
2-6 6-3 6-1
Topo M.
Arnaldi M.
2662
Topo M.
6311

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Marko Topo 2-6 6-3 6-1 in the Heilbronn CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Topo M.

Topo M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
87
Break points won·Dominant
51
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+432 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1399
7.9Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
6.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
79

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Topo M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast