Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hubert Hurkacz — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 32
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 May 2023
clay
Hubert Hurkacz
POL13
Hubert Hurkacz
#68ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Varillas J.
3-6 6-3 7-6 4-6 6-2
Hurkacz H.
Varillas J.
3677463
Hurkacz H.
6363622

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 7-6 4-6 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #68, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Serve advantage — Hurkacz H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Hurkacz H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
13.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 174). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Hurkacz H.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
100
Break points won·Even
43
40
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Hurkacz H.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
9.0+331 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1798
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Hurkacz H.
Freshness·Clear edge
62
81

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 60%
Final
Djokovic N.[3]
Ruud C.[15]
7-616-37-5
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[3]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-35-76-16-1
Ruud C.[15]
Zverev A.[2]
6-36-46-0
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-26-17-65
Djokovic N.[3]
Khachanov K.[13]
4-67-606-26-4
Zverev A.[2]
Etcheverry T.[23]
6-43-66-36-4
Ruud C.[15]
Rune H.[6]
6-16-23-66-3
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Musetti L.[17]
6-36-26-2
Djokovic N.[3]
Varillas J.
6-36-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Dimitrov G.[28]
6-16-46-3
Etcheverry T.[23]
Nishioka Y.[27]
7-686-06-1
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Ofner S.
7-56-36-0
Khachanov K.[13]
Sonego L.
1-66-47-676-1
Rune H.[6]
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-633-66-41-67-67
Ruud C.[15]
Jarry N.
7-637-57-5
R32
Djokovic N.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
7-647-656-2
Rune H.[6]
Olivieri G.
6-46-16-3
Khachanov K.[13]
Kokkinakis T.
6-46-13-67-65
Nishioka Y.[27]
Seyboth Wild T.
3-67-682-66-46-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Shapovalov D.[26]
6-16-46-2
Varillas J.
Hurkacz H.[13]
3-66-37-634-66-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Fritz T.[7]
3-66-36-47-5
Musetti L.[17]
Norrie C.[14]
6-16-26-4
Ofner S.
Fognini F.
5-76-37-51-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-26-3
Sonego L.
Rublev A.[11]
5-70-66-37-656-3
Dimitrov G.[28]
Altmaier D.
6-46-36-1
Jarry N.
Giron M.
6-26-36-776-3
Etcheverry T.[23]
Coric B.[15]
6-37-656-2
Zverev A.[2]
Tiafoe F.[19]
3-67-636-17-65
Ruud C.[15]
Zhang Z.
4-66-46-16-4
R64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Daniel T.
6-13-66-16-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Van Assche L.
6-46-37-66
Rune H.[6]
Monfils G.
W/O
Olivieri G.
Vavassori A.
7-673-66-47-63
Zhang Z.
Tirante T.
7-636-36-4
Altmaier D.
Sinner J.[1]
6-707-671-67-647-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Arnaldi M.
6-23-66-36-3
Musetti L.[17]
Shevchenko A.
6-16-16-2
Norrie C.[14]
Pouille L.
6-16-36-3
Ofner S.
Korda S.[24]
6-37-616-4
Schwartzman D.
Borges N.
7-636-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Carballes Baena R.
6-37-646-2
Djokovic N.[3]
Fucsovics M.
7-626-06-3
Hurkacz H.[13]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-35-76-7137-656-4
Kokkinakis T.
Wawrinka S.
3-67-56-36-746-3
Fritz T.[7]
Rinderknech A.[22]
2-66-46-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Molcan A.[6]
6-46-26-1
Coric B.[15]
Cachin P.
6-34-64-66-36-4
Nishioka Y.[27]
Purcell M.
4-66-27-56-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Pella G.
6-33-66-46-3
Fognini F.
Kubler J.
6-47-656-2
Dimitrov G.[28]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-646-36-4
Varillas J.
Bautista Agut R.[19]
1-64-66-36-16-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Albot R.
6-36-46-2
Sonego L.
Humbert U.[32]
6-46-37-63
Jarry N.
Paul T.[24]
3-66-16-47-5
Giron M.
Lehecka J.[12]
6-26-36-2
Ruud C.[15]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-24-67-5
Rublev A.[11]
Moutet C.[30]
6-46-23-66-3
Etcheverry T.[23]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-37-626-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Karatsev A.
3-66-37-56-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-36-4
R128
Shevchenko A.
Otte O.
7-54-66-17-62
Pouille L.
Rodionov J.
6-26-46-3
Fognini F.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
6-46-46-3
Korda S.[24]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-47-56-4
Ofner S.
Cressy M.
6-47-666-2
Fucsovics M.
Grenier H.
6-35-76-16-3
Van Assche L.
Cecchinato M.
6-16-16-3
Bautista Agut R.[19]
Wu Y.
7-646-16-1
Albot R.
Kypson P.
6-36-24-66-1
Kokkinakis T.
Evans D.[20]
6-46-46-4
Vavassori A.
Kecmanovic M.[31]
5-72-67-687-637-69
Tirante T.
Van De Zandschulp B.[25]
6-24-66-36-4
Paul T.[24]
Stricker D.
6-36-26-4
Jarry N.
Dellien H.
6-46-46-2
Karatsev A.
Popyrin A.
6-36-746-16-2
Coric B.[15]
Coria F.
7-636-756-36-3
Purcell M.
Thompson J.
7-51-66-46-4
Pella G.
Halys Q.
6-46-772-67-647-64
Borges N.
Isner J.
6-45-77-634-67-69
Rune H.[6]
Eubanks C.
6-43-67-626-2
Kubler J.
Diaz Acosta F.
1-66-36-43-66-1
Monfils G.
Baez S.
3-66-37-51-67-5
Olivieri G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-634-64-67-56-1
Musetti L.[17]
Ymer M.
7-56-26-4
Cachin P.
Thiem D.
6-36-26-714-66-2
Etcheverry T.[23]
Draper J.
6-41-0
Zhang Z.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-14-1
Daniel T.
Oconnell C.
6-06-26-4
Arnaldi M.
Galan D.
2-66-36-06-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-06-27-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Nakashima B.[31]
6-47-54-63-66-3
Schwartzman D.
Zapata Miralles B.[32]
1-66-756-26-06-4
Hurkacz H.[13]
Goffin D.
6-35-76-42-66-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Fils A.
6-14-66-36-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Martinez P.[24]
6-42-60-67-56-3
Khachanov K.[13]
Lestienne C.
3-61-66-26-16-3
Hanfmann Y.
Monteiro T.
6-37-56-766-726-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Barrere G.
6-26-775-76-16-4
Dimitrov G.[28]
Skatov T.
6-06-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
Harris L.[31]
7-667-606-1
Molcan A.[6]
Gaston H.
6-17-646-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-656-762-66-36-4
Altmaier D.
Huesler M.
6-36-46-4
Norrie C.[14]
Paire B.
7-54-63-66-16-4
Varillas J.
Shang J.
4-62-66-26-36-1
Giron M.
Medjedovic H.
6-06-21-66-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Kovacevic A.
6-36-27-61
Nishioka Y.[27]
Wolf J.
1-63-66-46-36-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Vesely J.
7-56-34-67-67
Wawrinka S.
Ramos A.
7-656-46-721-66-4
Carballes Baena R.
Nava E.
7-656-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Muller A.
6-16-46-1
Sonego L.
Shelton B.[5]
6-43-66-36-3
Humbert U.[32]
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Rublev A.[11]
Djere L.
6-13-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[25]
Munar J.
6-12-67-656-1
Fritz T.[7]
Mmoh M.
6-26-16-1
Lehecka J.[12]
Struff J.[21]
7-51-66-33-66-1
Zeppieri G.
Bublik A.[9]
6-04-64-66-37-5
Ruud C.[15]
Ymer E.
6-46-36-2
Tiafoe F.[19]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-46-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Ivashka I.
6-15-76-16-3
Rinderknech A.[22]
Gasquet R.
6-42-66-27-64
Moutet C.[30]
Cazaux A.
6-16-34-66-4