Peyton Stearns vs Leylah FernandezRabat Round of 16

Rabat · WTA · Round of 16
#60WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 May 2023
clay
#25WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Stearns P.
6-3 2-6 6-2
Fernandez L.
Stearns P.
6262
Fernandez L.
3621

Peyton Stearns defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-3 2-6 6-2 in the Rabat round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #25, but Peyton Stearns had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay. Peyton Stearns extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Peyton Stearns closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingR64hardPeyton Stearns7-5 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR64hardLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Stearns P.Fernandez L.
Serve
47
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
95
Break points won·Even
98
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+54 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1702
4.1Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
99

Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fernandez L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 65%