Lucia Bronzetti vs Tatjana MariaRabat Round of 16

Rabat · WTA · Round of 16
#139WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 May 2023
clay
#76WTA
1703ELO
1585Clay ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Bronzetti L.
6-7 6-4 7-5
Maria T.
Bronzetti L.
61672
Maria T.
77451

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Tatjana Maria 6-7 6-4 7-5 in the Rabat round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lucia Bronzetti claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-27MonterreyR32hardTatjana Maria6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bronzetti L.Maria T.
Serve
12
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
13
Break points saved·Dominant
74
31
Break points won·Slight edge
84
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
48
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+19 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 1585
4.0Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 65%