David Goffin vs Luca NardiRome Masters Round of 128

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#251ATP
1665ELO
1637Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Goffin D.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Nardi L.
Goffin D.
3662
Nardi L.
6421

David Goffin defeated Luca Nardi 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Nardi came in ranked #160, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. David Goffin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassLuca Nardi7-5 7-5
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersQ2hardDavid Goffin7-6(4) 5-7 6-4
2022-10-03AstanaQ2hardLuca Nardi3-6 7-6(3) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Serve advantage — Goffin D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
82
32
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Dominant
64
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+101 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1537
5.6Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1585
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.8
Country comfort
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Goffin D.: 21 days rest · Nardi L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%