Jelena Ostapenko vs Sorana CirsteaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#18WTA
1957ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Ostapenko J.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Cirstea S.
Ostapenko J.
6362
Cirstea S.
3621

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-12RomeQFclaySorana Cirstea6-1 7-6
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardSorana Cirstea6-2 7-6(5)
2025-10-06WuhanR64hardSorana Cirstea6-0 2-1 RET
2024-01-08AdelaideR32hardJelena Ostapenko2-6 6-2 6-4
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassSorana Cirstea4-6 7-6(6) 6-4
2017-10-02BeijingQFhardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2017-08-28US OpenR64hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ostapenko J.Cirstea S.
Serve
81
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
85
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1808
Surface ELO
5.2+47 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1957
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
88

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cirstea S.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw