Alexander Shevchenko vs Sebastian BaezRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Shevchenko A.
6-3 6-4
Baez S.
Shevchenko A.
662
Baez S.
340

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in defending last year's round of 32, but Alexander Shevchenko had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shevchenko A.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Serve advantage — Baez S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Shevchenko A.Baez S.
4
Serve
1
47
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
87
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Dominant
60
86
Deciding sets·Even
87
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1624
Surface ELO
6.0+93 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
96

Shevchenko A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%