Taro Daniel vs Mackenzie McdonaldCagliari CH Round of 16

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#194ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 May 2023
clay
#140ATP
1606ELO
1473Clay ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Daniel T.
6-2 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Daniel T.
662
Mcdonald M.
230

Taro Daniel defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-3 in the Cagliari CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Taro Daniel narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13Delray BeachR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-2
2019-04-22BarcelonaR64clayMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersQ2hardTaro Daniel6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
56
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Dominant
37
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+69 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 1473
3.2Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
92

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 83 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast