Alexander Bublik vs Otto VirtanenAix En Provence CH Round of 16

Aix En Provence CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 May 2023
clay
#126ATP
1706ELO
1532Clay ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Bublik A.
6-4 6-4
Virtanen O.
Bublik A.
662
Virtanen O.
440

Alexander Bublik defeated Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-4 in the Aix En Provence CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Virtanen O.
55
Serve
51
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.1
8.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
67
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+291 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Clay Elo 1532
7.7Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
1.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
8.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
80

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast